Why VXX Should Reverse Split…Again

by Tyler Craig on July 17, 2012

The IPath S&P 500 VIX Short-term Futures ETN (VXX) burst onto the volatility scene at a cool $100 (split-adjusted) on January 30th, 2009. With the equities market grappling with a hangover from the 2008 malaise the VXX was able to withstand the beckoning of lower prices for a little over two months.  Then the epic slide commenced.

Fast forward 1 year, 9 months, and 10 days and with poor old VXX staring single digits in the face, Barclays implemented a 1 for 4 reverse split on November 9, 2010 to lift the beleaguered ETN back above $45.  Interestingly, the announcement of the reverse split was issued a few weeks prior when VXX was trading around $12.68.

And hey, VXX has survived another 1 year, 8 months, and 8 days without another reverse split being needed. Given that this go around VXX started dropping from $45 instead of $100, it’s fair to say its post-split performance has been notably better than its pre-split performance.  But with VXX dropping intraday to $12.86 it is eerily close to the threshold it reached just before its reverse split of 2009.  Though Barclay’s white horse of reverse split salvation has yet to appear on the volatility horizon, that doesn’t mean it’s not getting prepped in the stables.

Of course, a reverse split would be a welcome development for the everyday option trader.  Particularly for those employing spread strategies.  Anytime a stock approaches the single digits it becomes increasingly difficult to structure worthwhile spread positions due to the following two reasons:

1.  Even with $1 dollar wide strike prices, a move from one strike to the next represents a 10+% move.  This severely limits the amount of option strikes that have enough premium to be considered “in-play” thereby increasing the difficulty of structuring a position that’s worthwhile.

2.  Given the cheapness of options on low priced stocks traders may be forced to initiate positions with a large amount of contracts which increases commission costs.  For example, with VXX at $50 I may be able to initiate one $5 vertical spread for $300.  If VXX is at $11 I may have to initiate upwards of five $2 vertical spreads for the same $300.  That’s a 10 contract trade versus a 2 contract trade.  Depending on your broker that could make a huge difference in transaction costs.

So here’s to hoping Barclay’s sallies forth from their citadel to save VXX yet again from entering the underworld of single digits.

[Source:  MachTrader]

For related posts, readers can check out:
VXX Reverse Split
Reflections on VXX
Learn the Quirks

{ 2 comments… read them below or add one }

Ellen Smith July 17, 2012 at 6:11 pm

I really like that one. Keep up the good work on your blog.

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W at OffRoad Finance July 26, 2012 at 10:33 am

This seems to reflect a continual state of contango in the VIX futures. I guess that’s the price you pay if you want beta without most of the volatility.

I think the next strategy I’m going to work on is something on VXX or VIX futures from the short side. I’ll have to keep size very small, but the overall premium seems incredible.

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